Archives pour: Août 2009, 23
La dépression assurée ? Peut-être la grippe porcine!
par brettonwoods
Le Centre pour le Contrôle des Maladies (CDC) a prédit un taux de mortalité de 2,1 à 3,3 pourcent parmi ceux qui seront infectés par la grippe porcine cet automne, ce qui veut dire un nombre supplémentaire de victimes variant entre 52 000 et 86 000 en zone urbaine sur une période de trois mois, selon Kasdan.
Le CDC a–il effectivement prédit un taux de mortalité de 2,1 à 3,3% parmi ceux qui attraperont la grippe porcine?
(Ce taux est connu sous le nom de “CFR” ou « taux de mortalité clinique », parmi ceux qui sont sur le terrain)
J´essaie de retrouver les sources de ce document, jusqu´ici sans succès. Mais s´il est exact alors vous devez savoir deux choses dès maintenant :
En premier lieu, nous assisterons à une dépression économique. Si le CAR, ou « taux d´attaque » (le pourcentage de personnes) qui sont infectées par la grippe se trouve dans la plage de 40 à 60% de la population, alors un CFR de 2-3% représente plus d´un million de victimes américaines cet automne et en hiver, ou plus brièvement, quelque chose autour de un sur cent. Si votre enfant va à l´école en compagnie de 1000 autres personnes 10 (en moyenne) d´entre elles mourront.
source : http://market-ticker.org/archives/1349-Depression-Assured-Maybe-Swine-Flu.html
The Centers for Disease Control has predicted a 2.1 percent to 3.3 percent death rate among those who come down with swine flu this fall, which translates into an additional 52,000 to 86,000 deaths in the city over a three-month period, Kasdan said.
Has the CDC actually predicted a 2.1-3.3% death rate for those who come down with the swine flu?
(This is known as the "CFR", or "clinical fatality rate", among those in the field.)
I have been trying to source this statement - so far without success. But if it is accurate then there are two things you need to take away from this right here and now:
First, we will have an economic depression. If the CAR, or "attack rate" (the percentage of people in the population) who get the flu is in the typical range of 40-60% of the population, then a CFR of 2-3% means one million or more dead Americans this fall and winter, or more succinctly, somewhere around one in a hundred. If your kid goes to school with 1,000 other people, 10 of them will die (on average.)
Warren Buffet : " Nous allons être broyés sous une montagne de dettes"
Quand cela vient de Buffet, que dire de plus ??? Sa déclaration a tout de même passé sous silence...
Buffett: We're Going to Be Crushed Under Mountain of Debt
Posted Aug 19, 2009 11:51am EDT by Henry Blodget
A highly influential American has finally hit the panic button about the tremendous mountain of debt the country is piling up.
Last year, Warren Buffett says, we were justified in using any means necessary to stave off another Great Depression. Now that the economy is beginning to recover, however, we need to curtail our out-of-control spending, or we'll destroy the value of the dollar and many Americans' life savings.
Some not-so-fun facts from Buffett's editorial today in the New York Times:
* Congress is now spending 185% of what it takes in
* Our deficit is a post WWII record of 13% of GDP
* Our debt is growing by 1% a month
* We are borrowing $1.8 trillion a year
$1.8 trillion is a lot of money. Even if the Chinese lend us $400 billion a year and Americans save a remarkable $500 billion and lend it to the government, we'll still need another $900 billion.
So, where's it going to come from? Most likely the printing press. And, ultimately, Buffett says, that will destroy the value of the dollar.:
08/23/09 11:51:10 pm, 